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2024-12-14 06:34:53

Monumental trend


Yesterday Tuesday, the K-line monument-like trend of the three major A-share indexes opened higher and went lower trapped a lot of funds. The monument with a turnover of 2 trillion yuan corresponding to the K-line actually illustrates the reverse thinking of large funds and small scattered funds.Looking back at the history of A-shares, it is easy to find that the market reacted fiercely and quickly to similar clear information, but the market responded slowly to the information that really pushed the whole market or industry to turn, such as changes in liquidity caused by the shift of monetary policy, changes in social and economic fundamentals, and structural adjustment brought about by industrial policies. Basically, there is a delay of 4-6 months, which is enough time for large funds with sensitive sense of smell to be laid out in advance.


Fortunately, this time, the reaction was not particularly strong, and the selling effect did not last. Today, the trading volume dropped by 370 billion, and the index amplitude was around 1%, and the fluctuation was suspended.There have been three similar K-line monumental trends in the past year, 828 last year and 108 this year and 1210 this time. No one can accurately predict it, but looking back, the market sentiment was high before the market opened, and after the opening, big funds took the lead in rushing. The high mood is caused by the outbreak and spread of good news. Nowadays, the cocoon effect of personal information is too strong, and all kinds of explosive forecasts and peripheral funds before the market add fuel to the flames, which can successfully raise the mood of many people every time.Looking back at the history of A-shares, it is easy to find that the market reacted fiercely and quickly to similar clear information, but the market responded slowly to the information that really pushed the whole market or industry to turn, such as changes in liquidity caused by the shift of monetary policy, changes in social and economic fundamentals, and structural adjustment brought about by industrial policies. Basically, there is a delay of 4-6 months, which is enough time for large funds with sensitive sense of smell to be laid out in advance.

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